China Quakes
Its not just Japan that gets the quakes with a Total Solar Eclipse. China has a recent history too. There is a chance they will get a quake as well, but not as high a chance as Japan. The interesting thing to note is that there does seem to be a significant correlation between Total Solar Eclipses and Earthquakes in this region over the past decade. A magnitude 6+ earthquake occurred 6 hours before the total solar eclipse in China, October 1995. A magnitude 5+ earthquake occurred 1 hour before the total solar eclipse in China, August 2008.
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July 22nd through July 30th 2009 Earth Quake Prediction
I used the theory to predict the biggest magnitude of earthquake activity, and it happens to be in Southern Japan. Japan sits on or near the junction of 4 tectonic plates
Japans tectonic plates
*** Note: 07/07/2009 Update: Historical data has changed my prediction to be a few hours before the total eclipse, with a window of 8 days after the eclipse. Prediction is from July 22nd through July 30th 2009 read Page 2 – Supporting evidence to find out why ***
I predict a 6+ Magnitude Quake on July 22 2009 at 3:00PM Local Japanese time. This will be followed by two level 5+ Earthquakes and a Tsunami between 5:00PM and 7:00PM. The tsunami will start out in the pacific ocean (to the South East of Japan … Along the fault line) and hit all the islands to the south west of Japan, Indonesia and even reach Papua New Guinea. The major quakes will actually be along the fault lines in the Ocean.
Most of the quake activity will be south of Japan. Taiwan and Indonesia will probably be hit hard too.
Note: I have absolutely no credibility to do this. I’m just applying the theory that the gravitational pull of the Sun and Moon pulling together will do the following things.
1. Lift the tectonic plates
2. Cause the tide to rise more than usual
3. Cause an underground molten magma tide to dip and raise the plates following the water tide.
I placed all the time data from the Nasa eclipse site into an excel spread sheet four the four tectonic plates in the region. I assumed an hour delay for each event following the lunar eclipse, and then summed the values. I assumed that the events would last longer for the fluids, water and molten magma than for dry land. I then summed the values four all 4 plates where Japan sits.
The blue path above shows the lunar path that will achieve the full solar eclipse at around 11:30 AM to 12:30 PM. Red dots show where the solar eclipse will be full. Why is this the big one? A tsunami can occur with a level 7.0 magnitude or higher. The last two eclipse earthquakes in 2004 and 2007 have been 6.9. Japan has a violent 8.4 quake known as the "Tokai" quake that occurs on a cycle of every 150 years or so. The last one was in 1854. That means Japan has been ripe for the big one since 2004. This (July 22nd 2009) eclipse is the longest (over 6 minutes) in over a century and the moon is the closest it will be to earth in over a century. It has the greatest chance of causing a gravitational disturbance of any eclipse in the past 100 years. Page 2 – Supporting evidence
Just about every eclipse in the past 10 years in Japan has a significant earthquake associated with it. I prefer data within a few hours of the eclipse, but if I open the time window to a few days after, the correlation jumps to 85%. Only one eclipse in this region in 2003 did not have a corresponding quake during the past decade. For Japan, over the past decade or so, 6 out of 7 eclipses with corresponding earthquakes with in a few days (or hours) is a significant fact.
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Japanese Quake and Tsunami Predicted July 22 2009
Total Solar Eclipse Earthquake Theory
What is the relationship between an earthquake and an eclipse? One normally thinks of a solar eclipse as merely the moon blocking the light of the sun. What one misses with this concept, is that these are two celestial bodies that have a large gravitation pull on the earth. During an eclipse these two bodies combine gravitational forces in exactly one straight line. This means that the gravitational pull of the sun and the moon on the earth are combined during the eclipse.
The eclipse quake theory is as follows; When the gravitational force of the sun and moon are both pulling together they create larger than normal tidal forces. The solar tide is about one third the size of the lunar tide. When these tidal forces work together they provide a larger than normal downward push on a subducted tectonic plate. If the gravitation distortion and tidal forces pass over the joint between two tectonic plates that has not had series of recent earthquakes, the extra pull is all that is needed to "pop the seam" and cause a major quake. Molten magma beneath the surface of the earth plays a role too. Because the earth rotates faster than the moon’s orbit, this magma tide as well as the ocean tide is often actually directly in front of the moon’s path. Matching eclipse data from NASA to earthquake data from the USGS demonstrates a great deal of correlative data between eclipses and an earthquakes.
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Intl community must act against States sponsoring terrorism: Pranab
Speaking at the Regional Security & Co-operation Dialogue in the capital External Affairs Minister Pranab Mukherjee said that the international community needs to collectively fight the menace of terrorism.
In an apparent reference to Pakistan, India on Wednesday said the problem of terrorism becomes complex when "recalcitrant" states do not recognise their international commitments and asked the world community to discipline such nations.
"It clearly spells out that if a state apparatus sponsors terrorism as an act of state policy, or a recalcitrant state refuses to recognise its international commitments and responsibilities on not allowing the use of (its) territory for terror activities, the problem becomes more complex and difficult," External Affairs Minister Pranab Mukherjee said.
He was making the keynote address at the inaugural edition of ‘The Delhi Dialogue’ between India and ASEAN countries.
Comparing the magnitude of the Mumbai attack to the 11th September terror strikes in the US, he said terrorism today is not just an act of misguided individuals or a small group.
"Therefore it is high time for the international community to recognise that such recalcitrant states must be brought to discipline by resorting to various international mechanisms," Mukherjee said.
The External Minister said the recent Mumbai carnage had shown that both India and ASEAN will need to resolutely rebuff such evil attempts that strike the civilisational roots of the region.
"Our growing economic and political links will send a message that the terrorists’ designs will have to be defeated not just by India but by the international community as a whole," Mukherjee said.
India conveyed disagreement on Miliband’s views to UK: Pranab
After UK Foreign Secretary David Miliband ruffled feathers in New Delhi by linking the Kashmir issue with terrorism, India said on Wednesday it conveyed its disagreement to Britain through diplomatic channels and is treating the matter as a closed chapter.
"In our normal diplomatic channel what is proper and just we have done it and now it is a closed chapter," External
Affairs Minister Pranab Mukherjee told reporters in New Delhi on the sidelines of a function organised by FICCI.
He was asked whether Prime Minister Manmohan Singh had written a letter to his British counterpart Gordon Brown over Miliband’s observations.
Reports had it that Singh had written a letter to Brown over the British Foreign Secretary’s comments linking
resolution of Kashmir issue to terrorism in the region.
Mukherjee said when the Foreign Secretary from UK visited India he had shared his perception about the situation with him and the Indian delegation.
"I equally told him and all the interlocutors that this is your perception and we do not share it," he said, adding that there was no question of giving anyone a cold shoulder.
In an article in a British newspaper Miliband had written that resolution of the Kashmir issue would deny extremists in the region one of the main reasons for taking up arms prompting the External Affairs Ministry to point out that it did not need any "unsolicited advice" on Kashmir.
Miliband had also put his faith in the Pakistani judicial system by suggesting that Pakistanis wanted in connection with the Mumbai attacks should be tried in that country itself to give its judicial system a chance.
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India, Afghanistan to share info to deal with terror
With both countries facing terrorism emanating from Pakistan, India and Afghanistan on Wednesday decided to step up information exchange to deal with the scourge.
External Affairs Minister Pranab Mukherjee, who is on a two-day visit in Kabul, discussed cooperation in the field of security and developmental projects with President Hamid Karzai and Foreign Minister Rangin Dafdar Spanta.
After his meetings, Mukherjee said he had had very useful discussions on bilateral issues of cooperation.
Spanta said both the countries face "same terrorism from the same source", apparently referring to Pakistan which he did not name.
He said the two sides discussed the problem of terrorism and ways to deal with it.
Asked how India and Afghanistan would cooperate to deal with terrorism, Spanta said, "we have very little cooperation in security and information sharing. We will increase that".
On whether there should be military cooperation between India and Afghanistan, Spanta said, "the two countries are victims of terrorism and need to recognise the problem and focus on concrete measure against it".
"In our region, there are some entities who use terrorism as tool for foreign policy. This should end," the Afghan Foreign Minister said.
He, however, felt that the civilian government of Pakistan was determined to cooperate in fight against terrorism.
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Satyam Board begins a crucial two-day meet today
The six-member Board of Satyam Computer Services (Satyam) will begin a crucial two-day meet in Hyderabad on Thursday in a concerted bid to steer the company away from the current crisis following the Rs 7800 crore financial fraud.
The meeting, the third since the Company Law Board dissolved the depleted Board after the disclosure of the fraud, will have on hand the most important task of appointing Chief Executive Officer(CEO) and Chief Financial Officer(CFO), the two key posts being looked at for reviving the scam-tainted company.
Originally slated to be held in Mumbai and on Saturday, the venue was shifted to Hyderabad, the headquarters of the beleaguered company and fixed for two days to meet the exigencies arising out of the liquidity crisis.
Even as 40 applications for the post of CEO had been received, according to Deepak Parekh, a Board member, a decision on final choice may not be taken on the first day, company sources said.
The selection of CFO, too, was likely to be tricky, as the financial figures were yet to be re-instated.
Internal housekeeping, too, was fraught with many intangibles, even though, Parekh had, after the second meeting of the Board, indicated that the company had Rs 7000 crore plus receivables.
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Court sends Rajus, Srinivas to police custody
A local court on Saturday sent Satyam’s tainted founder Ramalinga Raju, his brother Rama Raju and the company’s former CFO Vadlamani Srinivas to four days police custody from Sunday.
The 6th additional chief metropolitan magistrate granted their custody to the state CID police, who had sought seven days detention of them for further questioning.
The Rajus were arrested on 9th January and have been in judicial custody since Saturday last.
Srinivas was arrested on 10th January and sent to judicial remand.
The police had questioned the Rajus on the night of his arrest and sought more time to interrogate him on the Rs 7,800 crore financial fraud he had admitted to in Satyam Computer.
The CID has already searched Raju’s house and his office in Satyam and recovered at least 44 documents.
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Pak informs India of actions launched by it over Mumbai attack
In its first formal response to India with regard to the Mumbai attacks, Pakistan on Friday said it had initiated a "series" of actions in connection with the probe into the terror strikes.
Pakistan’s response was conveyed by Foreign Secretary Salman Bashir to Indian High Commissioner Satyabrata Pal, a day after External Affairs Minister Pranab Mukherjee said Islamabad should inform New Delhi through diplomatic channels about steps it had taken in the wake of the Mumbai strikes.
During the meeting at the Foreign Office in Islamabad, Bashir discussed with the Indian envoy the ongoing probe and other measures, including actions initiated by Pakistan to implement sanctions imposed by the UN Security Council on the banned Jamaat-ud-Dawa and leaders of Lashkar-e-Toiba.
"The Foreign Secretary has conveyed today to the Indian High Commissioner in Islamabad the sequence and series of actions initiated by the government of Pakistan in pursuance of its international obligations as well as those relating to the Mumbai terrorist attacks," a Foreign Office spokesman said in a statement.
Bashir "mentioned that an official inquiry has already been launched as announced by the Prime Minister of Pakistan in his address to the National Assembly (lower house of parliament) on January 13", the statement said.
Bashir also said "it was important for Pakistan and India to chart the way forward on anti-terrorism cooperation" and highlighted "the imperative need for an across-the-board constructive bilateral engagement".
The statement did not give details about the various steps that had been initiated by the Pakistan government.
Mukherjee called for sharing of information through diplomatic channels after Pakistan’s Interior Ministry chief Rehman Malik held a news conference on Thursday and detailed the action taken against the Jamaat-ud-Dawa and Lashkar-e-Toiba, including the detention of 124 members of banned groups and the closure of five militant training camps.
During his meeting with the Indian High Commissioner, Bashir also "transmitted a letter addressed by Prime Minister Yousuf Raza Gilani in response to the New Year’s greetings received from Prime Minister Manmohan Singh", the statement said.
Greeting cards sent by Dr Singh to President Asif Ali Zardari and Gilani were seen by the Pakistan government as an indication of India’s desire for better relations following the tensions sparked by the Mumbai attacks.
The Indian High Commissioner’s visit to the Foreign Office coincided with a meeting there between British Foreign Secretary David Miliband and his Pakistani counterpart Shah Mahmood Qureshi.
Miliband is in Pakistan after a visit to India to help defuse regional tensions.
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Oil prices mixed in Asian trade
World oil prices were mixed in Asian trade on Friday amid concerns over weak energy demand from countries hit by the global economic downturn, analysts said.
New York’s main contract, light sweet crude for February delivery, gained 15 cents to USD 35.55 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange.
Brent North Sea crude for March delivery was down five cents to USD 47.63. The February contract expired on Thursday.
Lower global demand for crude continued to cast a pall over the market, overshadowing geopolitical issues such as the fighting between Israel and Hamas in the Middle East, analysts said.
"The depressed world economy is expected to have a large impact on oil demand this year," especially in industrialised countries, the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) said in a monthly report.
The cartel forecast a bigger-than-expected 0.2 per cent drop in global oil demand this year.
In 2008, global oil demand was estimated to have contracted by 100,000 barrels per day (bpd), the first decline in over two decades, it said.
Tony Nunan, a manager for energy risk at Mitsubishi Corp in Tokyo, said New York oil prices could fall further after the February contract expires next week.
Crude prices had plummeted to an intra-day low of USD 32.40 a barrel on 18th December last year, its lowest level since July 2004.
Since September, OPEC, which supplies 40 per cent of the world’s crude, has cut output by a total of 4.2 million bpd in an effort to shore up falling prices.
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Satyam board gets three new members
The government on Thursday appointed three more professionals on Satyam’s board, even as member Deepak Parekh said the IT firm can raise funds by mortgaging assets – dispensing with the need for central assistance.
Apex industry association CII’s chief mentor Tarun Das, noted chartered accountant and a past president of ICAI T N Manoharan and S Balkrishna Mainak of LIC, a major investor in Satyam, would join Parekh, Kiran Karnik and C Achuthan at the board. The expansion comes two days before the board is to hold its second meeting — on 17th January.
Ruling out any bailout package, Corporate Affairs Minister Prem Chand Gupta, while announcing the new nominees, said, "The first impression from the government-nominated directors about the company is that its operations are sound and by and large major customers are willing to remain with the company."
"Until we know the real position, how can we speak of bailout… the company has receivables of Rs 1,700 crore," Parekh said, adding that "financial assistance can be generated by hypothecating some of the assets of the company."
The speculation about the bailout package heightened after Economic Affairs Secretary Ashok Chawla said that the government had received a mail or two from former acting CEO Ram Mynampati indicating that the company needs about Rs 150 crore.
He, however, did not elaborate on when the mails were received and Mynampati, who was appointed acting CEO by the erstwhile board, is in the US meeting clients.
"I am confident that NASSCOM and major companies in IT sector in the country would support the efforts of the present management of Satyam in sailing through the present crisis," Gupta said, while announcing the board expansion.
The investigation into Satyam case has been entrusted to SFIO, which has already begun their probe and would submit its report within three months, while the probe is also underway in eight companies associated with Satyam group, including Maytas Infra and Maytas Properties, the minister added.
On two new auditors Deloitte and KPMG having been engaged to look into the accounts of Satyam, Gupta said that it would take a few weeks before they come out with any findings.
After his meeting with Gupta, Parekh also said that KPMG and Deloitte have begun their work and the board was meeting again on Saturday.
The three-member board, after their first meeting on 12th January, had said that working capital was an immediate concern, but it had not yet determined the liquidity needed.
Besides Gupta, Parekh also met Planning Commission Deputy Chairman Montek Singh Ahluwalia on Thursday. After the meeting, he said that Satyam has large receivables and assets could be hypothecated after getting report from the accountants, who can take 8-12 months.
"Unless the accountants who are restating the accounts confirm the receivables, we do not know the veracity of correctness of the recievables," he said, while adding that a financial assistance might not be needed, if the company gets the receivables on time.
"The collections are coming everyday… As Satyam is a running company, lots of collections are planned… We are trying our best to salvage the company," Parekh said, adding that the salaries to the staff in the US were paid today.
Earlier in the day, Gupta said that the company can raise funds from banks, if needed.
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